Obviously, I make a lot of predictions when I'm creating a forecast. I try to make them reasonable and do the best job possible. However, there are some people who seem to make a living on ridiculous predictions. Here are three examples that I can think of right now.

Last week after the earthquake in California there were all these "experts" saying that this is just a preshow for the big show that will eventually happen causing California to slip off into the ocean. Don't we already know this. Most earthquakes are along a fault and chances are there will be a bigger one in the future. As far as California moving into the ocean, that's obvious if you know anything about tectonics. Actually, I think I learned this in basic earth science in Middle School.

The other takes me back to the active hurricane season of 2005. Not long after Katrina and Rita hit the Gulf of Mexico coast another "expert" made a great prediction. He said; someday, somewhere another major hurricane will hit the United States coast that will be as devastating, if not more devastating than Katrina. Wow, that was bold (note the sarcasm). If he had put a time restriction on that I might have listened a bit more, but he didn't. Eventually I'm going to get hungry too if I don't eat.

Recently, my least favorite have been these wonderful Oil Speculators. These guys come out and say that oil will hit $150, $200, or even $300 and then oil just skyrockets. Their claims are usually baseless or very far fetched. I remember one that said If Iraq decides to turn against us, Iran cuts off their supply and China grows at some huge rate that we'll see oil at a higher price. Well yes, you're right but you're on page 2000 of a book that hasn't even had page one written yet. I could also be a millionaire if I get chosen to go on Deal or no Deal, rub Howie's head the right way for luck,choose the right box and then take huge risks. Thankfully these people have seemed to disappear as oil has fallen the past few days.

I think what makes me the most upset about these people is that they don't have to worry about their claims. Also, they get so much coverage for saying this stuff if it is said at the right time. When I forecast, I stress over if it comes true. Maybe I should start saying stuff like, the sun will come up, then set and there will be weather of some form in between. I'm doubting I'd have a job for long if I did.